State of the Conversation

A short, curated map of the primary sources worth reading across the three threads Cupel follows: AI provenance, credential and supervision verification, and the human impact of automated knowledge work. Updated as the picture changes — see Field Notes for commentary on what changed and why it matters.

AI provenance

C2PA — State of Content Authenticity

Ongoing tracker of Content Credentials adoption across major platforms and tools.

EU AI Act, Article 50

Transparency and disclosure obligations for AI-generated content, in force from August 2026.

Credential and supervision verification

Gartner — Predicts 2025: AI in Human Capital Management

Forecast that one in four candidate profiles could be entirely AI-fabricated by 2028.

NIST IR 8596 (Initial Preliminary Draft)

Guidance on human-in-the-loop checks and confidence thresholds for AI system outputs.

The human impact of automated knowledge work

Anthropic Economic Index — March 2026 Report

Hiring of 22–25 year-olds in the most AI-exposed roles down ~14%; no broad unemployment signal yet.

Harvard Business Review — Has AI Ended Thought Leadership?

On the widening gap between commentary about the future of work and evidence-based response to it.

SignalFire — State of Tech Talent Report

Entry-level hiring at the top 15 tech firms fell 25% between 2023 and 2024.

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